Global Environmental Change Early Career Award Webinar Series – II
The second webinar in the 2022 series features Dr. Ning Lin of Princeton University and her research group. Dr. Lin is an Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Princeton University, where she has affiliate appointments with Princeton School for Public and International Affairs, Andlinger Center for Energy and Environment, and High Meadows Environmental Institute. Dr. Lin leads the Hurricane Hazards and Risk Analysis Group at Princeton. Her group integrates science, engineering, and policy to study hurricane-related weather extremes (strong winds, heavy rainfall, and storm surges), how they change with changing climate, and how their impact on society can be better mitigated. In this webinar, we will also hear from members of Dr. Lin's group about their research on the risk of hurricane hazards in a changing climate. The presenters include Dr. Dazhi Xi (Post-doc), Avantika Gori (Ph.D. student), and Karui Feng (Ph.D. student).
Hurricane Hazards and Risk in a Changing Climate
Abstract: Hurricanes cause much damage and loss of life worldwide. The impacts of these storms may worsen in the coming decades because of rapid coastal development coupled with sea-level rise and possibly increasing hurricane activity due to climate change. Here, we present a holistic framework of modeling hurricane hazards and risks in a changing climate. First, we introduce a new probabilistic hurricane model that can be used to generate large numbers of synthetic storms with physically correlated characteristics under projected climate conditions. Second, we discuss hurricane wind, rainfall, and surge hazard modeling and the coupling with the hurricane model to estimate individual and compound hazard probabilities in a changing climate. Then, we discuss the modeling of hurricane impact on infrastructure systems, particularly hurricane-blackout-heatwave compound risk.